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Some ponderings over Marketing world, some comments, and yes... the pyaas for the gyan !
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Understanding Undercutting of prices

Undercutting is defined as offering to sell at lower prices than or to work for lower wages than (a competitor) or as required officially. Undercutting, hence, is done at the cost of one's profit.

In short, and as used mostly by field salesmen, undercutting means to sell cheaper than one's competition.

The word would be easily recognized by anyone who has ever gone to dealers and tried raising their sales targets. The moment you do so they will start crying that some dealer is undercutting in the market and that the 'evil guy' is actually selling at almost nil margins, giving discount more than that you give to the dealer himself.

Now lets understand the reason for undercutting; while we admire how well kept the products are in retail stores are we never realize the efforts and pains taken by the salesman there to get them up. And similarly we may see some ad of a new product and we would run to the nearest shop next day to buy it; but takes a lot of persuasion, arm twisting, margins game and target adjustment to get those new and 'unreputed' products on shelf. But every month the targets rise for these dealers, salesmen and zone offices; and then comes the most novel uses of undercutting. A dealer dumps in neighboring place or across border and completes one's targets. Or you may see the large wholesale dealers dealing in volume indulging in undercutting to earn bread and butter. So a big stockist in Delhi can dump stock in Faridabad, or a Rajasthan stockist take benefit of VAT induced difference to dump in Ferozpur (Punjab) etc.

Lets talk maths now, generally FMCG products have about 10% of retailer margin and about 5% of stockist/wholesaler margin (direct supply from company). Now there will be some schemes from time to time which increase this margin by some points, generally 1-2%, lets take 1.5% here. Now there are targets set for these stockists and wholesalers, if they perform full quarter, they will get more percentage as reward. Say this target completion margin is 0.75%. So the final margin of stockist is :






Wholesaler Scheme1.50%
Extra Margin if target completed0.75%
Wholesaler/stockist margin5.00%

--------

7.25%

--------
Hence instead of having 7.25% and giving other stockist's retailer his 10% margin, the stockist gives 12.25%; and keeps only 5%. Due to this the retailers take supply from him and the stockist of that area suffers.

But if you understood the concept well, you should have got that its not workable for a long time. And if you think a bit further, you will realize it will actually work as a cyclic process. It brings us to an important price cycle called as Edgeworth price cycle. It's an asymmetric price variation that has the following characteristics:
  1. The good/service is a homogeneous commodity and customers are extremely price-sensitive. If one vendor undercuts another, they will capture all or a very large portion of the market (where "very large" means "as much as they can handle").
  2. Beginning from an equilibrium, one competitor will initiate a round of undercutting by pricing below the equilibrium. Because of (1), competitors will respond immediately, the same day if possible, with a match or a slight undercut.
  3. Undercutting will continue until they bid the price down to the wholesale cost.
  4. One competitor will then restore prices. Everyone will follow as quickly as possible, and the cycle repeats.

Because of (1), smaller competitors have a greater incentive to initiate cutting. Larger competitors will generally be the initiator of restorations. The cycle is asymmetric because restorations happen nearly simultaneously, but undercutting is generally slower. Competitive gasoline markets with a high degree of independent or small retailers typically demonstrate Edgeworth cycling, while markets dominated by majors (vertically integrated firms) will tend toward sticky pricing.

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posted by Jas @ 9:00 PM, ,





Is Rupert really interested in Yahoo?

When a kill is done/cornered by lion, its the hyenas who start crowding for a feast. With Yahoo under hostile bid, one can see lot many hyenas lining up to cater to their self interests. Word leaked out yesterday (Wednesday) that Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp. is looking at taking a stake of 20 percent or more in Yahoo in exchange for MySpace, some cash and other online properties. An infusion from News Corp., the reasoning goes, could boost Yahoo’s stock price high enough to outstrip Microsoft. But as pointed out by BigTech , Fortune Blog, there’s a good chance that News Corp. is more interested in peeking at Yahoo’s secrets at the bargaining table than in actually stealing Microsoft’s prize.
The author has questioned the potential News Corp and Yahoo deal on three points. First, he says, because Yahoo and News Corp. would have to convince Yahoo shareholders that the abstract deal is worth more than the cold hard cash Microsoft is offering. Convincing Yahoo shareholders to embrace a MySpace deal would be difficult enough, because it would assume that MySpace is worth billions of dollars. According to The Wall Street Journal, News Corp. would likely push for a valuation between $6 billion and $10 billion. But then for a harsh fact that much of MySpace’s revenue comes from its $900 million advertising deal with Google , in which the online giant has agreed to pay about $20 million per month until mid-2010. So far, that deal doesn’t seem to be working out so well for Google. In its most recent conference call with analysts, Google blamed its disappointing performance in part on its inability to make the MySpace deal pay off as quickly as it would like. That makes it doubtful that MySpace is really worth billions today. And if investors don’t believe in the value of MySpace, they won’t believe that this deal makes Yahoo more valuable than the more than $40 billion in cash and stock Microsoft is offering.

Second he points out, its’s not clear who would run the MyHoo combination. Third, because there’s a good chance that News Corp. is more interested in peeking at Yahoo’s secrets at the bargaining table than in actually stealing Microsoft’s prize. In business, everybody knows about Rupert's shrewdness.

Finally there’s the strong possibility that News Corp. doesn’t really want to do a Yahoo deal at all, and is only dangling the MySpace idea as a way to gain information.After all, as a media baron who has struck big deals with both Google and Microsoft, Rupert Murdoch stands to be affected quite a bit if there’s a power shift in online advertising. There’s arguably no better way to prepare for the changes than to get an up-close look at what Microsoft would get by purchasing Yahoo — and that’s perspective Murdoch would be likely to get if he at least pretends to be interested in taking a stake in Yahoo.

But then, its business after all; and all is fair in love and war!

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posted by Jas @ 1:32 PM, ,





Motorola - is climax coming?

When a company announces that it is going to do away with one of its key business units it is definite to impact the stock price in exchange. And if the stock rises by something like over 10% then it surely rings a bell (and in case you haven't noticed, even the trade volume is high). It doesn’t take much of analysis to understand that Motorola had been doing badly in handset business. Its only ticket to cash registers was Razr, except for that one model, rest all just came and were lost in clutter. After grabbing world market share of 23% in 2006 on momentum led by its Razr phone, the company has lost nearly half that as rivals outpaced it with successful new products. So it was not surprising to see Motorola slip to number three spot behind market leader Nokia and now runner up Samsung.

I personally feel that Motorola has been too laidback, they are trying to catch the market based on some engineering innovations and aren’t really able to connect to the normal consumer who can give them volumes. Nokia relies on design innovations rather than engineering innovations in the electronic part. The ease of operation and sturdiness has been two main selling points of Nokia. If you have used Nokia once, you can use almost all Nokia phones as they are similar on usage, unlike other phones which are difficult to learn and the interface change with the handset.

Motorola has come up with another model W230. Looks like the handset was launched after a careful gap analysis of features and market need. With features like expandable memory upto 2GB,MP3 player,FM with recording, large phonebook memory and USB1.1 data connectivity, its loaded with features; I felt the handset was priced quite aggressively at Rs.3,400. The ad for the set is again a very typical of Moto phones with TG of middle class. It’s targeted at youth and boils down to the same word - Attitude. But it is actually a nice ad than the earlier one where father loses his head!

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posted by Jas @ 2:21 PM, ,





Microsoft hostile bid on yahoo

Just heard of Microsoft's hostile bid on Yahoo at 62% premium at Thursday's stock price. What is exciting is how the people are actually looking at Microsoft as a savior for Yahoo. They think that yahoo has never used its full potential in internet domain and the aggression needed in the competitive world of today is just missing.

Microsoft's proposal to Yahoo's board of directors represents $31 per share (a 62% premium over yesterday's closing price) or about $44.6 Billion. Steve Ballmer, CEO and big fan of developers, says, "We have great respect for Yahoo!, and together we can offer an increasingly exciting set of solutions for consumers, publishers and advertisers while becoming better positioned to compete in the online services market." Apparently, the deal was laid out in a letter sent by Ballmer to Yahoo's board just yesterday. Seriously. The letter confirms that the two giants have been discussing the topic since late 2006. It also appears to be a direct response to the Google threat as outlined in the following paragraph:

"Today, the market is increasingly dominated by one player who is consolidating its dominance through acquisition. Together, Microsoft and Yahoo! can offer a credible alternative for consumers, advertisers, and publishers."

The deal, of course, rests on the two coming to a "merger agreement" and Microsoft having the time to conduct the required due diligence. Microsoft is ready to begin immediate discussions and have a draft merger agreement ready for consideration.

Well I am traveling right now, but the outcome should definitely bring me back for yet another post! Will appreciate posts on the brand value comparison of the two.

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posted by Jas @ 4:14 PM, ,